millershollow - Day 7 |
| Link:149017 Sat Jan 23 00:17:49 2010 |
| Time:2007-07-24 18:48:27 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2248473 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#2 #3 #8 #11 #13 #14 #20 #21 #22 #23 #31 #33 #34 #35 #40 #43 Children:(none) |
#1 | |
| Can Cupid also be afflicted? | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 18:52:53 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2248729 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #3 #8 #11 #13 #14 #20 #21 #22 #23 #31 #33 #34 #35 #40 #43 Children:#4 |
#2 | |
| we are so fucked. | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 18:56:07 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2249241 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #8 #11 #13 #14 #20 #21 #22 #23 #31 #33 #34 #35 #40 #43 Children:(none) |
#3 | |
| Well, if the wolves ate a confirmed, or at least alleged villager, as we suspected they would, then that leaves either you (if that's even possible) or | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 19:01:29 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2249753 | Parent:#2 Siblings:(none) Children:#5 #12 |
#4 | |
| I don't think so. This may actually be a good thing. It's clear the AFFLICTED was activated. The most likely wolf target last night was The second most likely wolf target last night was Of the two, if I were a wolf, I'd have gone after So now, assuming they did, and he was actually the AFFLICTED, then he's a WOLF now, and we should lynch him. vote I say this may be a good thing, because if I'm right, then the net effect of all that is that the wolves were actually deprived of a kill last night, thus extending the game. | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 19:03:59 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2250009 | Parent:#4 Siblings:#12 Children:#6 |
#5 | |
| That's a bit of logic, but I'm waiting for the rules clarefication on whether or not the Cupid can also be a | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 19:06:55 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2250521 | Parent:#5 Siblings:(none) Children:#7 #10 |
#6 | |
| I'm fairly certain you can not be both AFFLICTED and CUPID. Which would prove that The only other option is that the wolves picked someone else entirely at random, but I seriously doubt it given one (probably two) confirmed villagers. | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 19:08:57 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2251033 | Parent:#6 Siblings:#10 Children:#9 |
#7 | |
| The only thing that can be applied to someone else is the LOVER. If you're CUPID, SEER, RALPH I don't see why this always ends up being a problem. The only thing that can be applied to another role is LOVER and that's because CUPID assigns it randomly. Everyone else CAN'T have TWO roles. | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 19:09:45 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2251289 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #11 #13 #14 #20 #21 #22 #23 #31 #33 #34 #35 #40 #43 Children:(none) |
#8 | |
| After reading | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 19:14:50 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2252057 | Parent:#7 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#9 | |
| I was fairly sure that was the case, but was just asking for clarification. | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 19:14:56 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2252313 | Parent:#6 Siblings:#7 Children:(none) |
#10 | |
| It's a good theory. | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 19:20:40 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2252825 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #8 #13 #14 #20 #21 #22 #23 #31 #33 #34 #35 #40 #43 Children:(none) |
#11 | |
| Told you there was something odd about that one! Vote | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 19:37:07 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2253849 | Parent:#4 Siblings:#5 Children:(none) |
#12 | |
| I'll buy that. Vote | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 19:46:05 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2254105 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #8 #11 #14 #20 #21 #22 #23 #31 #33 #34 #35 #40 #43 Children:#28 |
#13 | |
| My only problem with that theory is the wolf strategy up until now. If they were continuing it, they would definitely NOT eat But on the other hand, now that we'd figured out their strategy, they very well might change it. Especially if And, frankly, I don't have anything to go off of besides gut feelings and suspicions anyway. So I'll vote | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 20:30:35 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2255385 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #8 #11 #13 #20 #21 #22 #23 #31 #33 #34 #35 #40 #43 Children:#15 #17 |
#14 | |
| Well, I think it's definitely clear that the afflicted was turned last night. With the witch already dead and no bodyguard around, that would be the only way to not have any wolf kills in the night. Also, assuming that Vote My main concern is that Please note that I am *not* attempting to say that | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 20:36:17 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2255641 | Parent:#14 Siblings:#17 Children:#16 |
#15 | |
| Based on this post, I must vote for the obvious wolf, vote I think you've over analyzed your position in hoping to sow discord, and, in doing so, made your wolfness clear. | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 20:42:31 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2256153 | Parent:#15 Siblings:(none) Children:#18 |
#16 | |
| If there's one thing I've learned from this game, it's that nothing is obvious pre-mortem. As I said, it's entirely possible that I'm wrong. If you don't agree with me, don't vote with me. But barring a Seer accusation or a Wolf confession, I don't believe that debate can ever be a bad thing. Besides, I've never survived one of these games before. Why start now? :) | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 20:43:18 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2256409 | Parent:#14 Siblings:#15 Children:#19 |
#17 | |
| I did have similar thoughts about the obviousness of the choice. But I'm sticking with Secondly, if | |||
| Time:2007-07-24 20:44:31 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2256665 | Parent:#16 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#18 | |
| I think the only one I survived was when I was the Seer. But to be fair, love suicide got me like, 3 times or something. I don't know why but it seems like I'm always Cupid or a Lover. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 04:46:25 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2257177 | Parent:#17 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#19 | |
| Hmm... The LJ outage has given me time to realize that I'm definitely over-analyzing things here. WIFOM Syndrome, as I feared. Like you said, Unvote Vote | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 04:52:35 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2257433 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #8 #11 #13 #14 #21 #22 #23 #31 #33 #34 #35 #40 #43 Children:(none) |
#20 | |
| There are two problems with the theory that I'm now a wolf. The wolves were told of our breaking of their strategy and therefore would obviously change it. The main use of eating a confirmed villager is to silence a voice that isn't likely to get lynched. Since I'm the most obvious candidate for munching, munching me at this point just confirms my theories of yesterday. vote | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 05:06:32 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2257689 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #8 #11 #13 #14 #20 #22 #23 #31 #33 #34 #35 #40 #43 Children:#25 #30 |
#21 | |
| Of the few people left alive, I was the only one confirmed safe by the seer. Since many posts last night predicted my wolfy demise last night, all the wolves have to do to get me killed is leave me alone, at which point everyone assumes I'm the Sorcerer. Them accidentally hitting the Afflicted is good luck for them as it not only gains them a wolf, but puts the final nail in my villager coffin. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 05:20:09 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2257945 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #8 #11 #13 #14 #20 #21 #23 #31 #33 #34 #35 #40 #43 Children:#24 #29 |
#22 | |
| Since it seems that it is There are 12 people left. Two are wolves and one is Cupid I therefore have a 1/9 chance of being the Afflicted. I have a 8/9 chance of being normal or at least not now a wolf. I still think I'll double the booze I owe you if you help me out of this dogpile. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 05:30:46 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2258457 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #8 #11 #13 #14 #20 #21 #22 #31 #33 #34 #35 #40 #43 Children:(none) |
#23 | |
| sorry... my access from work was blocked for some reason tonight. I also like VOTE | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 06:11:52 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2259481 | Parent:#22 Siblings:#29 Children:#27 |
#24 | |
| I'll double the booze I owe you if you help me out of this dogpile. Invoking the vote | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 06:37:56 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2260249 | Parent:#21 Siblings:#30 Children:#26 |
#25 | |
| Actually, you were confirmed a villager, which is true, but the Seer couldn't tell if you were Afflicted or not. If the wolves did come for you last night, then it would only make sense that you're now a wolf too, hence no one dying. Sorry, if you're a villager then I'll cry on your body. vote | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 13:27:16 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2260761 | Parent:#25 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#26 | |
| ah...then that clarifies that for me. vote | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 14:57:26 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2261273 | Parent:#24 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#27 | |
| Hadn't heard of that one. That's what I get for playing on LJ for the first time. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 14:58:54 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2261529 | Parent:#13 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#28 | |
| I think it would be ill advised to depend on any "pattern" set up by the wolves. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 15:12:09 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2261785 | Parent:#22 Siblings:#24 Children:(none) |
#29 | |
| Weak. You're just as likely as anyone else to have been the afflicted. I shouldn't "switch to someone else" simply because the odds that YOU were the afflicted is "only" 1/9. The wolves had no way of knowing who the afflicted was. They wouldn't have eaten someone else in the hopes of getting the afflicted. You were just as likely to have been the afflicted as anyone else. However, your status as guaranteed-confirmed-by-the-seer-villager makes you look like one hell of a tasty snack for the occasionally hirsute crowd. By eating a confirmed villager, they lower the odds of subsequent lynches catching a wolf. There hasn't been a pack of wolves yet who DIDN'T snack on confirmed villagers. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 15:13:32 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2262041 | Parent:#21 Siblings:#25 Children:(none) |
#30 | |
| Except that the wolves wouldn't know whether or not you were a sorcerer. So, they just as likely ate you and accidentally got an afflicted. Bonus for the wolves! | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 15:47:32 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2262297 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #8 #11 #13 #14 #20 #21 #22 #23 #33 #34 #35 #40 #43 Children:#32 |
#31 | |
| Ok fine, no happy meals on legs for me. So SAD! Some hints to my new canine brothers (remember, I haven't met them in human form yet and know not who they are). Eat I figure Don't be so obvious as to your snacks. Remember the first half of the game wherein we were all totally confused about whom to lynch? Keep that up. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 16:00:17 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2262553 | Parent:#31 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#32 | |
| Ha! Got you, you walking carpet! | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 16:13:17 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2262809 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #8 #11 #13 #14 #20 #21 #22 #23 #31 #34 #35 #40 #43 Children:#36 |
#33 | |
| Confirmed living non-lover pairs: | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 16:25:38 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2263321 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #8 #11 #13 #14 #20 #21 #22 #23 #31 #33 #35 #40 #43 Children:#38 |
#34 | |
| Ok...looking into the future... After We also have a Sorceror (which doesn't matter since the Seer is dead but would be voting to hang villagers in the hopes of a wolf win), Ralh People who have been suspected are gorrillshaman, Since today is decided, let's talk about tomorrow. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 16:29:40 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2263577 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #8 #11 #13 #14 #20 #21 #22 #23 #31 #33 #34 #40 #43 Children:#57 |
#35 | |
| *walks up to each villager sniffing and making notes on likely flavor* | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 16:30:10 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2263833 | Parent:#33 Siblings:(none) Children:#37 #39 |
#36 | |
| lol, the one thing i'll say about the Lover's identities is that i am NOT one of them. I've been the lover like, 4 times, and I'm just plain bored of it. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 16:34:11 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2264089 | Parent:#36 Siblings:#39 Children:#44 |
#37 | |
| Apparently I'm too icky for love. No nookie for the Elder Squid. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 16:36:50 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2264345 | Parent:#34 Siblings:(none) Children:#41 #46 |
#38 | |
| /sigh Ok, look at it like this. There's 11 villagers and 2 wolves left. If I wasn't Cupid, I'd have to be a wolf. That means all the real Cupid has to do is expose me, and I get lynched and he gets eaten. That would give us 10 villagers and 1 wolf. There's not a villager alive who wouldn't make that sacrifice. I know that it can't be proven 100%, but after three days of being out of the Cupid closet, the odds of me being a wolf masquerading as a Cupid are ridiculously low. As for | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 16:54:51 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2264601 | Parent:#36 Siblings:#37 Children:(none) |
#39 | |
| yeah, and almost everyone alive has voted for you or vice versa. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 16:56:48 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2264857 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #8 #11 #13 #14 #20 #21 #22 #23 #31 #33 #34 #35 #43 Children:(none) |
#40 | |
| *wonders where the | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:03:03 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2265113 | Parent:#38 Siblings:#46 Children:#42 #48 |
#41 | |
| I do think that you are the Cupid, believe me on that, I was merely pointing out the possibility (even though it a tiny possibility). I'm not certain I necessarily count the Sorceror as a Villager per se because they are on the wolves' side. It is in their best interest in order to lynch confirmed/suspected villagers. I think your argument regarding As for the others, I'm just saying that they have thus far been suspected but nothing has happened. Personally, Daedelus' vote has me suspicious because it could be taken as him trying to save his new lycanthropic brother. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:20:07 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2266137 | Parent:#41 Siblings:#48 Children:#45 |
#42 | |
| Time:2007-07-25 17:22:14 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2266393 | Parent:(none) Siblings:#1 #2 #3 #8 #11 #13 #14 #20 #21 #22 #23 #31 #33 #34 #35 #40 Children:#47 |
#43 | |
| I expect to be eaten tonight, so my final thoughts are posted above in my discussion with | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:23:57 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2266649 | Parent:#37 Siblings:(none) Children:#52 |
#44 | |
| You could still be a lover with anyone alive. No one here has voted for you or vice versa. You're actually one of the most lovable....hmmm calamari anyone? | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:34:49 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2266905 | Parent:#42 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#45 | |
| If it hadn't been him it would've been someone else; there was no way for I'll give you that it is pretty brutal, but if I was a wolf, which I'm not, I would've voted him as well. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:34:53 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2267161 | Parent:#38 Siblings:#41 Children:#49 #53 |
#46 | |
| I'd have to agree with cudlycthulhu in that it's logical that the wolves would eat the confirmed villager to keep us guessing. I'm still cautious of | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:36:36 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2267417 | Parent:#43 Siblings:(none) Children:#58 |
#47 | |
| Well, if you're Cupid, at least you're technically immortal... :) | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:38:50 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2267673 | Parent:#41 Siblings:#42 Children:#54 |
#48 | |
| Remember, I did retract my theory long before As for how to vote tomorrow... I'm willing to give H&H the benefit of the doubt about being Cupid. He may be lying, but all it would take is a statement by the real Cupid and the situation would be resolved. Hell, they wouldn't even have to reveal the lovers. The quiet ones, specifically As for the others? I've got nothin'. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:40:20 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2267929 | Parent:#46 Siblings:#53 Children:#50 |
#49 | |
| You know me. I'm many things, but random? Not one of them. :P | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:41:44 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2268185 | Parent:#49 Siblings:(none) Children:#51 |
#50 | |
| Then you admit that you were trying to pull away attention from | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:44:37 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2268697 | Parent:#50 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#51 | |
| I wasn't trying to draw attention away from him at all. I specifically stated that | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:46:21 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2268953 | Parent:#44 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#52 | |
| Oi! Do not be eyein' my nibbly bits! | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:47:19 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2269209 | Parent:#46 Siblings:#49 Children:#55 |
#53 | |
| I'm still cautious of Look who's talking :P | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:50:17 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2269465 | Parent:#48 Siblings:(none) Children:#56 |
#54 | |
| I'll agree that | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:55:00 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2269721 | Parent:#53 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#55 | |
| Hey! I use my powers for good, too! ;P | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:55:38 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2269977 | Parent:#54 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#56 | |
| True. Another reason he's not very high on my list of suspects. | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 17:56:15 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2270233 | Parent:#35 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#57 | |
| *pokes the werewolf* | |||
| Time:2007-07-25 18:06:56 GMT Author: Subject:(none) Link:149017#2271001 | Parent:#47 Siblings:(none) Children:(none) |
#58 | |
| Who wants to be immortal if you have to go through eternity wearing a diaper? | |||
| vote | 2007-07-24 19:01:29 GMT | #4 | |||
| vote | 2007-07-24 19:09:45 GMT | #8 | |||
| vote | 2007-07-24 19:20:40 GMT | #11 | |||
| vote | 2007-07-24 19:37:07 GMT | #12 | |||
| vote | 2007-07-24 19:46:05 GMT | #13 | |||
| vote | 2007-07-24 20:30:35 GMT | #14 | |||
| vote | 2007-07-24 20:36:17 GMT | #15 | |||
| unvote | 2007-07-25 04:46:25 GMT | #19 | |||
| vote | 2007-07-25 04:46:25 GMT | #19 | |||
| vote | 2007-07-25 04:52:35 GMT | #20 | |||
| vote | 2007-07-25 05:30:46 GMT | #23 | |||
| vote | 2007-07-25 06:11:52 GMT | #24 | |||
| vote | 2007-07-25 06:37:56 GMT | #25 | |||
| vote | 2007-07-25 13:27:16 GMT | #26 | |||
| vote | 2007-07-25 16:36:50 GMT | #38 |
| 11 against | : | ||
| 1 against | : | ||
| Posted but no vote | : | ||
| posts by | : | (10) | #20 #21 #22 #27 #31 #33 #35 #39 #40 #44 | |
| posts by | : | (10) | #2 #13 #17 #18 #36 #38 #42 #43 #53 #54 | |
| posts by | : | (9) | #5 #10 #25 #32 #34 #37 #41 #45 #52 | |
| posts by | : | (8) | #14 #16 #19 #48 #49 #51 #56 #57 | |
| posts by | : | (5) | #1 #3 #8 #9 #30 | |
| posts by | : | (5) | #11 #46 #47 #50 #55 | |
| posts by | : | (4) | #4 #6 #28 #29 | |
| posts by | : | (2) | #15 #58 | |
| posts by | : | (1) | #26 | |
| posts by | : | (1) | #24 | |
| posts by | : | (1) | #23 | |
| posts by | : | (1) | #12 | |
| posts by | : | (1) | #7 |