lupusintabula - Day Three

Link:38887 Sat Jan 23 00:16:47 2010

Loud howls came from the edge of town during the night. When morning comes, its obvious that the Winery was the focus of the Werewolves attention in the night. Several barrels lay smashed open, some splattered with the blood of [info]giantlaser. A stunned silence falls over the assembled mob as they find scattered tarot cards and what could only be a smashed crystal ball.

As they return sadly to the Village Square, the Launderer [info]gjunell looks around and asks, "Has anyone seen the Baker this morning?"

The disheartened group stops at [info]amphitrite27's Bakery and finds the door slightly open. Peering in, the Musketeer gasps and back up a few steps. On the floor lies the green swollen remains of a Werewolf, desperately clutching its throat even in death. The Witch has struck true with her poison.

Summary: [info]giantlaser the SEER is DEAD. [info]amphitrite27 the WEREWOLF is DEAD, victim of the WITCH's POISON.
Time:2006-07-07 18:28:39 GMT
Author:[info]lupusintabula
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#608487

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:#2
#1
Admistrative note: [info]gorillashaman, your reader seems to not be picking up the last five posts from yesterday.



Time:2006-07-07 18:34:04 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#608743

Parent:#1
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#2
Yeah, it hiccupped. I've fixed the immediate cause, now I'm looking at making sure it doesn't reoccur again.



Time:2006-07-07 18:34:43 GMT
Author:[info]lupusintabula
Subject:Administrative Note 2
Link:38887#608999

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:(none)
#3
This will be a "long" day, ending whenever I feel like it on Monday.



Time:2006-07-07 18:36:49 GMT
Author:[info]evilben
Subject:Hmmmm
Link:38887#609255

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:(none)
#4
No idea who to vote for today. Guess I [info]abstain untill after work tonight when some more interaction has happened.



Time:2006-07-07 18:46:43 GMT
Author:[info]the1mouse
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#609511

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:#6
#5
Sorry I missed yesterday - rehearsal ran late and then I overslept.

Interesting that the witch was able to identify a wolf so immediately. Must have been the afflicted?

Looking back at [info]giantlaser's statements, I am willing to bet that [info]gjunell is a villager, and it is probably likely that [info]gpeefalt is a wolf.

I vote [info]gpeefalt until further notice.



Time:2006-07-07 18:48:20 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#609767

Parent:#5
Siblings:(none)
Children:#15
#6
I agree, vote [info]gpeefalt.

holy shit, we agree on something!



Time:2006-07-07 19:03:46 GMT
Author:[info]perkyevil
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#610791

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:#20
#7
Sorry [info]gpeefalt, but he did implicate you. Vote [info]gpeefalt



Time:2006-07-07 19:07:58 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#611559

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:#9
#8
vote [info]gpeefalt, due to seer implication.

Also, I think it is neat that one of the wolves was someone high on my thing. I think I'm getting better at this.

Also, I have to assume that since the witch did not step forward, that the afflicted was activated on night one.

That said, here is my new suspicion list:

[info]blackbeardin 52%
[info]daedalus4096 46%
[info]gpeefalt 37%
[info]gjunell 37%
[info]parzanese 31%
[info]evilben 31%
[info]perkyevil 28%
[info]the1mouse 38%



Time:2006-07-07 19:12:42 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#611815

Parent:#8
Siblings:(none)
Children:#16
#9
is [info]the1mouse really 38% and simply out of order or is she much lower?



Time:2006-07-07 19:15:09 GMT
Author:[info]daedalus4096
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#612071

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:#11
#10
Well, that was both very good and very bad. At least the witch had a good aim. I'm going to be out of town all weekend without internet access, so I'm simply going to make my vote now to make sure it gets in.

Vote [info]chessiekitty
Stop Cthulhu Kitty before it's too late!



Time:2006-07-07 19:19:38 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#612583

Parent:#10
Siblings:(none)
Children:#12 #13
#11
um, she was lynched yesterday . . . I guess you could go back in time though :)



Time:2006-07-07 19:20:19 GMT
Author:[info]lupusintabula
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#613095

Parent:#11
Siblings:#13
Children:#22
#12
Ghost lynching!



Time:2006-07-07 19:23:06 GMT
Author:[info]daedalus4096
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#613863

Parent:#11
Siblings:#12
Children:#14 #23
#13
Err, yeah, exactly. Testing you, that's it. I was just testing you all...

So, uh, unvote [info]chessiekitty and vote [info]evilben, 'cause he's been far too agreeable so far.



Time:2006-07-07 19:25:18 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#614887

Parent:#13
Siblings:#23
Children:(none)
#14
he's my next choice . . .



Time:2006-07-07 19:25:34 GMT
Author:[info]the1mouse
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#615143

Parent:#6
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#15
Heh - you keep agreeing with me and I might start to worry. :p



Time:2006-07-07 20:27:17 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#617191

Parent:#9
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#16
That and the extra bold are me trying to post as I run out the door for lunch. [info]the1mouse really should be 38%, and placed accordingly higher in the list.



Time:2006-07-07 20:31:47 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:rules clarification?
Link:38887#617703

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:#18
#17
If [info]amphitrite27 had been the afflicted, and she had been activated on night one, would her death have shown up as simply "wolf" or would it have shown up as "afflicted"?



Time:2006-07-07 20:34:28 GMT
Author:[info]lupusintabula
Subject:Re: rules clarification?
Link:38887#618215

Parent:#17
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#18
She would show up as WEREWOLF. AFFLICTED are only revealed after the game is over.



Time:2006-07-07 20:35:34 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#618471

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:(none)
#19
Also, check out http://cuddlepuddle.org/~adam/ljgames/[info]lupusintabula/143.html#2318

[info]giantlaser seems to imply [info]gjunell is a normal villager. It makes sense, given their personal histories, that that seer would try to spy on that player early.



Time:2006-07-07 20:47:48 GMT
Author:[info]gpeefalt
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#618983

Parent:#7
Siblings:(none)
Children:#21 #25
#20
I have no idea why he would implicate my if he had scanned me, as I wouldn't show up as a wolf in any way shape or form. Since the witch still has her saving potion I am going to reveal myself. I am the other seer. [info]amphitrite27 was the afflicted as I scanned her on day 2 and she came up villager. [info]parzanese is a wolf.

vote [info]parzanese



Time:2006-07-07 20:48:36 GMT
Author:[info]gpeefalt
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#619239

Parent:#20
Siblings:#25
Children:#26
#21
By day 2 I mean she was the second person I scanned.



Time:2006-07-07 20:58:33 GMT
Author:[info]maniakes
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#619751

Parent:#12
Siblings:(none)
Children:#34
#22
vote [info]chessiekitty!



Time:2006-07-07 21:03:45 GMT
Author:[info]chessiekitty
Subject:Oh no you didn't!
Link:38887#620263

Parent:#13
Siblings:#14
Children:#24
#23
Do you know what's worse than Cthulhu Kitty? A Cthulhu Kitty that's pissed off because someone is trying to kill her after she was already lynched!

You are so on my list... (cue freaky horror movie music)




Time:2006-07-07 21:06:08 GMT
Author:[info]daedalus4096
Subject:Re: Oh no you didn't!
Link:38887#620519

Parent:#23
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#24
I just forgot! Please don't devour me!



Time:2006-07-07 21:06:57 GMT
Author:[info]the1mouse
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#620775

Parent:#20
Siblings:#21
Children:#51
#25
I'll buy that for a dollar.

unvote [info]gpeefalt
vote [info]parzanese

Besides - he's being all nice to me and stuff. It's freaking me out.

:p






Time:2006-07-07 21:16:24 GMT
Author:[info]daedalus4096
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#621543

Parent:#21
Siblings:(none)
Children:#27 #28 #29
#26
I hate to rain on your parade, but unless Lupus in Tabula has a different interpretation of the rules than Miller's Hollow, your account of events isn't possible. See, I learned the hard way in a previous game that if the Afflicted is scryed on the same night he/she is turned, the Seer detects a wolf, not a villager. That means that if you had scried on [info]Amphitrite27 at the time you say you did, you would have detected a wolf. I'm now convinced that you, sir, are full of it.

Unvote [info]evilben, vote [info]gpeefalt



Time:2006-07-07 21:21:25 GMT
Author:[info]the1mouse
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#622055

Parent:#26
Siblings:#28 #29
Children:(none)
#27
If this can be confirmed by the game master please, I will change my vote back.



Time:2006-07-07 21:21:47 GMT
Author:[info]gpeefalt
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#622311

Parent:#26
Siblings:#27 #29
Children:(none)
#28
It's true. I scryed [info]amphitrite27 the night no one died, and she came up villager. I would ask that [info]lupusintabula clarify this rule, so that your judgment isn't clouded.



Time:2006-07-07 21:22:38 GMT
Author:[info]lupusintabula
Subject:Official Lupus In Tabula ruling
Link:38887#622567

Parent:#26
Siblings:#27 #28
Children:#30 #31 #32
#29
If a SEER scrys an AFFLICTED on the night he is changed, then the results are undefined. The SEER may detect either a WEREWOLF or a VILLAGER.

Apologies for any rules consfusion.



Time:2006-07-07 21:25:38 GMT
Author:[info]gpeefalt
Subject:Re: Official Lupus In Tabula ruling
Link:38887#622823

Parent:#29
Siblings:#31 #32
Children:#35
#30
Thank you for the clarification. What I have stated is the truth.



Time:2006-07-07 21:25:52 GMT
Author:[info]daedalus4096
Subject:Re: Official Lupus In Tabula ruling
Link:38887#623079

Parent:#29
Siblings:#30 #32
Children:#33
#31
Undefined? You're seriously saying you flipped a damn coin to determine the result of his "scry"?



Time:2006-07-07 21:25:54 GMT
Author:[info]the1mouse
Subject:Re: Official Lupus In Tabula ruling
Link:38887#623335

Parent:#29
Siblings:#30 #31
Children:#37
#32
Ok. I keep my vote as-is then, for the time being.



Time:2006-07-07 21:32:48 GMT
Author:[info]gpeefalt
Subject:Re: Official Lupus In Tabula ruling
Link:38887#623847

Parent:#31
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#33
Or maybe it's a timing issue. Damn race conditions...



Time:2006-07-07 21:39:40 GMT
Author:[info]chessiekitty
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#624359

Parent:#22
Siblings:(none)
Children:#41 #43
#34
vote [info]maniakes!




Time:2006-07-07 21:41:10 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:Re: Official Lupus In Tabula ruling
Link:38887#624615

Parent:#30
Siblings:(none)
Children:#36 #38
#35
Ok, I'll play along. If [info]parzanese is not a wolf, then we know for sure that you are and you get lynched tomorrow.

unvote [info]gpeefalt
vote [info]parzanese



Time:2006-07-07 21:49:07 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:Re: Official Lupus In Tabula ruling
Link:38887#624871

Parent:#35
Siblings:#38
Children:(none)
#36
Although I feel compelled to point out that if [info]amphitrite27 IS the afflicted, that it means all my previous suspition calculations are crap. But what else is new?



Time:2006-07-07 21:51:22 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:Re: Official Lupus In Tabula ruling
Link:38887#625127

Parent:#32
Siblings:(none)
Children:#39 #40
#37
I wouldn't. It's far more likely that Joel forgot the rule, and is covering by saying it is "undefined".



Time:2006-07-07 21:56:47 GMT
Author:[info]gpeefalt
Subject:Re: Official Lupus In Tabula ruling
Link:38887#625383

Parent:#35
Siblings:#36
Children:(none)
#38
I accept those terms.



Time:2006-07-07 22:06:58 GMT
Author:[info]lupusintabula
Subject:!
Link:38887#625639

Parent:#37
Siblings:#40
Children:#44
#39
Vote [info]gorillashaman



Time:2006-07-07 22:16:45 GMT
Author:[info]the1mouse
Subject:Re: Official Lupus In Tabula ruling
Link:38887#625895

Parent:#37
Siblings:#39
Children:#42
#40
I meant that I'm keeping my second vote... the one for [info]parzanese. Are you saying I should not do that?



Time:2006-07-07 22:17:25 GMT
Author:[info]the1mouse
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#626151

Parent:#34
Siblings:#43
Children:(none)
#41
SOMEBODY CALL THE GHOST HUNTERS! WE HAVE A RESIDUAL HAUNTING!



Time:2006-07-07 22:39:11 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:Re: Official Lupus In Tabula ruling
Link:38887#626407

Parent:#40
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#42
I was clearly confused. I thought you meant you were keeping your [info]gpeefalt vote. I think we should lynch [info]parzanese.



Time:2006-07-07 22:44:26 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#626663

Parent:#34
Siblings:#41
Children:#45
#43
check your vote; [info]parzanese is the man to lynch these days



Time:2006-07-07 22:44:58 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:Re: !
Link:38887#626919

Parent:#39
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#44
dork



Time:2006-07-07 22:46:46 GMT
Author:[info]lupusintabula
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#627175

Parent:#43
Siblings:(none)
Children:#46
#45
Did you forget that she's dead as well?



Time:2006-07-07 23:21:46 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#627431

Parent:#45
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#46
A vote is a vote, right? :) :) :)



Time:2006-07-07 23:37:48 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#627687

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:#48 #52 #63
#47
Here's a slightly more scary thought...

[info]parzanese and [info]gpeefalt are both wolves. We lynch [info]parzanese, and discover he's a wolf. This gives the witch the thought that [info]gpeefalt really is the seer. The wolves eat [info]gpeefalt (typical [info]parzanese style gambit), who is saved by the witch. [info]gpeefalt then strings us along until we're all eaten and lynched. The real seer doesn't want to come out just yet, because they're still looking for that last wolf.

And of course from that more "wine in front of me" arguments ensue.

In any even, the wolves have been INCREDIBLY lucky this game. Afflicted on night one and a Seer on night two.



Time:2006-07-08 01:39:28 GMT
Author:[info]gpeefalt
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#628199

Parent:#47
Siblings:#52 #63
Children:#49
#48
If I'm a wolf, I can't be eaten.



Time:2006-07-08 02:41:52 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#628455

Parent:#48
Siblings:(none)
Children:#54
#49
Not true, the GM can confirm.



Time:2006-07-08 02:43:20 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#628711

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:#55
#50
give me a break . . . you're not going to believe this crap . . . what else can a wolf do at this point but claim to be seer? he was outed by a KNOWN seer, [info]giantlaser, and now has everyone ganging up on him . . . the only recourse he has left is to claim seerdom and try and take me out thus benefiting the two remaining wolves (since it seems we all are in favor that the afflicted has been found) . . . as we know from past wolves killing me seems to be one of their highest priorities in these games . . .

these are the facts:

a KNOWN seer, [info]giantlaser voted for [info]gpeefalt . . .
I, an unknown and past hated enemy of wolves everywhere have so far not voted for a single known villager . . .
a claimed seer, [info]gpeefalt is now trying to state that I am a wolf to save his skinny hide . . .

give me a break, I'm not buying it . . . nor should you . . .



Time:2006-07-08 02:44:06 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#628967

Parent:#25
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#51
I've been nice because I'm tired of spending half my work day bickering with you on day one before I have you lynched :)



Time:2006-07-08 02:50:43 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#629223

Parent:#47
Siblings:#48 #63
Children:#53
#52
if you're willing to believe [info]gpeefalt, then the seers have been incredibly lucky as well, his first two scans being wolves or supposed afflicted . . .



Time:2006-07-08 02:59:10 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#629479

Parent:#52
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#53
Question for the GM:

Did the seers get to spy on night zero?



Time:2006-07-08 04:04:56 GMT
Author:[info]gpeefalt
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#629735

Parent:#49
Siblings:(none)
Children:#56
#54
That seems stupid and wrong.



Time:2006-07-08 04:21:20 GMT
Author:[info]gpeefalt
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#629991

Parent:#50
Siblings:(none)
Children:#62 #74
#55
Just because [info]giantlaser picked me does not mean he scanned me. Most likely he scanned a villager and is guessing.

I scanned [info]parzanese as a wolf. That must mean he is either a wolf or Ralph [info]Nader. If the latter, my apologies.



Time:2006-07-08 05:52:20 GMT
Author:[info]lupusintabula
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#630247

Parent:#54
Siblings:(none)
Children:#81
#56
Werewolves can eat other Werewolves.

"The man was cheatin' at cards so I had to do him in."
-Forbidden Zone



Time:2006-07-08 07:14:26 GMT
Author:[info]evilben
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#630503

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:#58
#57
Eh. seems fairly cut and dry at this point. Don't think Joe's a werewolf. Call it a gut feeling (of course, I could be wrong).

VOTE GPEEFAULT



Time:2006-07-08 14:22:28 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#631015

Parent:#57
Siblings:(none)
Children:#60 #61
#58
At this point I think they're both wolves.



Time:2006-07-08 14:48:07 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#631271

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:#65 #66
#59
btw, here's my revised suspition list. (insert typical caveat that this is here in case I die, not to convince anyone of anything right now)(also, note that even I'm not voting according to these numbers)


[info]blackbeardin 56%
[info]daedalus4096 43%
[info]gjunell 41%
[info]parzanese 35%
[info]the1mouse 34%
[info]gpeefalt 32%
[info]perkyevil 32%
[info]evilben 26%




Time:2006-07-08 15:42:13 GMT
Author:[info]evilben
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#631527

Parent:#58
Siblings:#61
Children:(none)
#60
Hmmm. you may be right.



Time:2006-07-08 17:47:57 GMT
Author:[info]the1mouse
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#631783

Parent:#58
Siblings:#60
Children:#64 #73
#61
At this point I think you're all wolves.
Can I vote for everybody?



Time:2006-07-08 17:48:27 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#632039

Parent:#55
Siblings:#74
Children:#72
#62
hey look a polite wolf . . .



Time:2006-07-08 17:50:04 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#632295

Parent:#47
Siblings:#48 #52
Children:(none)
#63
hey pull the stunt once, shame on me, pull the stunt twice shame on you :)



Time:2006-07-08 17:53:31 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#632551

Parent:#61
Siblings:#73
Children:#82
#64
well [info]gpeefalt is obviously a wolf because [info]giantlaser voted for him
I'm obviously a wolf because [info]gpeefalt is obviously the seer and he supposedly scanned me
you're obviously a wolf because you've been quieter than normal and haven't involved yourself with our usual bickering
[info]evilben is obviously a wolf because as [info]chessiekitty stated before dying, he's been acting different
gorrilashaman is obviously a wolf because he's still alive, and no respectful wolf would leave him alive
[info]perkyevil is um, hmm, obviously a quiet wolf, along with [info]gjunell, and [info]blackbeardin
[info]daedalus4096 is just confused :)



Time:2006-07-08 17:58:43 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#632807

Parent:#59
Siblings:#66
Children:(none)
#65
ok I get:
[info]perkyevil 30%
[info]maniakes 0%
[info]evilben 31%
[info]daedalus4096 30%
[info]gorillashaman 39%
[info]gpeefalt 31%
[info]blackbeardin 39%
[info]chessiekitty 0%
[info]amphitrite27 100%
[info]parzanese 22%
[info]gjunell 39%
[info]the1mouse 39%
[info]giantlaser 0%

hmm, will have to refine this more.



Time:2006-07-08 18:02:53 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#633063

Parent:#59
Siblings:#65
Children:#68
#66
ok after using your fuzzy logic stuff, my results are now:

[info]amphitrite27 100%
[info]blackbeardin 48%
[info]the1mouse 48%
[info]evilben 37%
[info]gpeefalt 37%
[info]perkyevil 34%
[info]daedalus4096 34%
[info]parzanese 23%
[info]gorillashaman 20%
[info]gjunell 20%
[info]giantlaser 0%
[info]maniakes 0%
[info]chessiekitty 0%



Time:2006-07-08 18:36:06 GMT
Author:[info]gjunell
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#633319

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:(none)
#67
VOTE GPEEFAULT

The Launderer, being suffused with the vapor of Lye and scared
out of his mortal skin, feels a good consensus forming and joins
in readily.

But what if we're wrong? The death of an innocent would weigh
heavily upon his soul. But not as heavily as a hairy clawed arm
upon his opening chest.




Time:2006-07-08 18:43:59 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#633575

Parent:#66
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#68
fuzzy logic was used on the person I believe to be the witch (by the way you left lots of clues) to set them to 75% normal, fuzzy logic was also used on [info]gjunell to set him to 75% normal because I don't want his kids to go hungry :)

I find it interesting however that [info]blackbeardin is on top of both mine and gorrilashaman's results . . . but this could just be because he hasn't said much and [info]abstained the other day . . .



Time:2006-07-08 21:37:44 GMT
Author:[info]blackbeardin
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#634343

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #75 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:#70 #88
#69
I'm not so sure that both [info]parzanese and [info]gpeefalt are wolves. Unless there's telepathy in this game, they would have had to set up that strategy last night, without knowing for certain that [info]giantlaser was a seer which seems a unlikely.



Time:2006-07-08 21:49:48 GMT
Author:[info]blackbeardin
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#634599

Parent:#69
Siblings:#88
Children:#71
#70
should have said "...seems a little unlikely"

I'm a little more inclined to think [info]parzanese is a wolf but, given his status, I don't think [info]giantlaser would've implicated someone he was unsure about two days in a row. So, I'll have to vote [info]gpeefalt.



Time:2006-07-08 23:49:23 GMT
Author:[info]blackbeardin
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#634855

Parent:#70
Siblings:(none)
Children:#90
#71
Strike that, I forgot [info]giantlaser didn't post on day 1. unvote [info]gpeefalt .

I [info]abstain for the moment(though doing so seems to incur the wrath of [info]gorillashaman and [info]parzanese's statistics).



Time:2006-07-09 01:06:39 GMT
Author:[info]gpeefalt
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#635111

Parent:#62
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#72
Hey look, an impolite wolf.



Time:2006-07-09 03:28:27 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#635367

Parent:#61
Siblings:#64
Children:(none)
#73
yes, but only one at a time.



Time:2006-07-09 03:31:53 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#635623

Parent:#55
Siblings:#62
Children:(none)
#74
Dude, he CLEARLY implicates you.



Time:2006-07-09 03:44:28 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#635879

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #78 #84 #87 #91
Children:#76
#75
Ok peoples voting for [info]gpeefalt, you're being silly. Here's why...

10 players left, 3 of whom are wolves. Assume he is the seer. Which way are the wolves going to throw the dogpile?

[info]gpeefalt's claim that [info]parzanese is a wolf is EASILY testable. [info]parzanese has NOT stood up and claimed any specialist role, which tells me at worst he's safe to lynch. If we lynch [info]parzanese and it turns out he's RALPH [info]NADER, then we have a guarantee that [info]gpeefalt is the seer. If we lynch [info]parzanese and it turns out he's a villager then we have a guarantee that [info]gpeefalt is a wolf. If [info]parzanese is a wolf, the seer has an extra night of spying, regardless of whether the seer actually is [info]gpeefalt or not.

Also, historically, the first person to stand up and say "don't lynch me, I'm the seer" has (shock and surprise) turned out to be telling the TRUTH.

So you've got two choices here:

lynch [info]gpeefalt: This risks LOSING THE SEER. Hell, I'll admit I don't trust him, but there is the outside chance he's telling the truth.

lynch [info]parzanese: This risks losing NOTHING, and potentially confirms or strengthens our knowledge about who the seer really is. At the very least it GUARANTEES that the seer gets an extra night of scrying no matter who he is!



Time:2006-07-09 15:22:31 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#636391

Parent:#75
Siblings:(none)
Children:#77
#76
I take it all back. The most likely scenario is (I think) that [info]gpeefalt is a wolf. Tyler would not have implicated him two days running otherwise.

unvote [info]parzanese
vote [info]gpeefalt



Time:2006-07-09 15:50:55 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#636647

Parent:#76
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#77
Here's my suspition list if it turns out [info]gpeefalt is a wolf:

[info]blackbeardin 52%
[info]perkyevil 48%
[info]gjunell 41%
[info]daedalus4096 31%
[info]evilben 28%
[info]the1mouse 0%
[info]parzanese 0%



Time:2006-07-09 16:09:45 GMT
Author:[info]gjunell
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#636903

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #84 #87 #91
Children:#79 #80
#78
[info]gorillashaman says there are 10 players, 3 of whom are wolves.

But

"[info]amphitrite27 the WEREWOLF is DEAD, victim of the WITCH's POISON."

So there are two wolves, not three.




Time:2006-07-09 19:26:02 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#637159

Parent:#78
Siblings:#80
Children:(none)
#79
Greggo...

There were three wolves and one afflicted at the start of the game. On night one, nobody died. There are only three possibilities here:

a) the witch was attacked, and chose to use her healing potion on herself

b) the afflicted was attacked, and converted t oa werewolf

c) a normal villager was attacked, and the with chose to save them

If (a) were true, then the wolves would know who the witch was. At that point, the witch should have come out, because the wolves would know who the witch was and there is no point in staying hidden. No person announced themselves as a witch on day two, therefore I must assume (a) is not true.

If (c) were true, then the normal villager attacked should have come out. The witch could confirm or deny the veracity of the claim. A wolf would not falsely claim they had been attacked, because the witch would know they were lying, and would poison them the following night. Since no normal villager came out on day two, I must assume (c) is false.

This leaves only (b); that the afflicted was attacked and converted to a werewolf, giving us a total of 4 werewolves. The corollary to this is that the witch still has a healing potion left, and this is confirmed by the fact that she has not yet come out.

Why the witch chose to poison [info]amphitrite27 on night 2 is a mystery to me. I looked and looked, but couldn't find anything particularly wolfy in her behavior. She did show up as one of the top three on my "susptions" list, but I'm not convinced that would be enough for the witch to choose her to poison.

At any rate, if (b) is false, then there are only two wolves left, and the witch has used both potions, in which case there is no harm now in the witch coming out. But she has not yet come out, which indicates to me that she still has a potion left and (b) must be true.

SO... three wolves plus the afflicted minus one wolf leaves... three wolves.



Time:2006-07-09 19:27:25 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#637415

Parent:#78
Siblings:#79
Children:#83
#80
Also note that none of the experienced players are disputing the theory that the afflicted has been activated.



Time:2006-07-10 00:46:18 GMT
Author:[info]daedalus4096
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#637671

Parent:#56
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#81
The caveat to this being that if there's a tie on the dinner vote, they don't eat anybody. Really, though, there's rarely a reason to try anything like this unless a wolf/villager lover pair is in play.



Time:2006-07-10 00:48:47 GMT
Author:[info]daedalus4096
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#637927

Parent:#64
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#82
Hey! ...What were we talking about?



Time:2006-07-10 00:51:55 GMT
Author:[info]daedalus4096
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#638183

Parent:#80
Siblings:(none)
Children:#85
#83
Just because I don't dispute it doesn't mean I accept it as gospel. It's highly probable, but far from a certainty.



Time:2006-07-10 04:25:33 GMT
Author:[info]parzanese
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#638439

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #87 #91
Children:(none)
#84
Well I'm going to be on the road all day tomorrow morning heading down to LA, so will probably miss the lynching . . . that being said, please don't lynch me :)

as to coming out as a special . . . why? why would I? and why should I? both the witch and the "seer" haven't come out, and really there's no reason for them to anyway, it'd just paint a target on them and would open things up to wolf imitation, especially since the witch no longer has any poison . . .

additionally you may remember when I was a mason, it took me forever to come out as a special, and I've claimed to be several specials in other games such as the seer (and other roles) in the last game . . . so I see no reason why claiming to be a special would help in anyway . . .

so have fun tomorrow morning and hope that I don't get stuck in a lot of traffic . . .



Time:2006-07-10 04:40:58 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#638951

Parent:#83
Siblings:(none)
Children:#86
#85
If you've got a better theory, I'd love to hear it.



Time:2006-07-10 08:30:29 GMT
Author:[info]daedalus4096
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#639207

Parent:#85
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#86
Nope, just keeping my options open. After all, we all know that the only certainties in this game are the obituaries. :)



Time:2006-07-10 14:54:02 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#639463

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #91
Children:#89
#87
fricken indecision

unvote [info]gpeefalt
vote [info]parzanese



Time:2006-07-10 15:51:36 GMT
Author:[info]lupusintabula
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#639719

Parent:#69
Siblings:#70
Children:(none)
#88
This is a "no telepathy" game, as is my default.



Time:2006-07-10 15:53:54 GMT
Author:[info]gorillashaman
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#639975

Parent:#87
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#89
I'm more inclined to believe [info]gpeefalt; he's been voting for [info]parzanese since day one.



Time:2006-07-10 16:49:37 GMT
Author:[info]blackbeardin
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#640487

Parent:#71
Siblings:(none)
Children:(none)
#90
vote [info]parzanese. I'm a little more inclined to believe [info]gpeefalt because a wolf in the face of a seer implication would be more likely to go with an "I must be Ralph [info]Nader" defense. I'm not sure why [info]giantlaser implicated him, but I'm guessing he hadn't found a real wolf yet and his reason for voting for him were just as he said in his post.



Time:2006-07-10 18:03:03 GMT
Author:[info]lupusintabula
Subject:(none)
Link:38887#640999

Parent:(none)
Siblings:#1 #3 #4 #5 #7 #8 #10 #17 #19 #47 #50 #57 #59 #67 #69 #75 #78 #84 #87
Children:(none)
#91
Post closed.



Vote History
[info]evilbenvote[info]abstain2006-07-07 18:36:49 GMT#4
[info]the1mousevote[info]gpeefalt2006-07-07 18:46:43 GMT#5
[info]parzanesevote[info]gpeefalt2006-07-07 18:48:20 GMT#6
[info]perkyevilvote[info]gpeefalt2006-07-07 19:03:46 GMT#7
[info]gorillashamanvote[info]gpeefalt2006-07-07 19:07:58 GMT#8
[info]daedalus4096vote[info]chessiekitty2006-07-07 19:15:09 GMT#10
[info]daedalus4096unvote[info]chessiekitty2006-07-07 19:23:06 GMT#13
[info]daedalus4096vote[info]evilben2006-07-07 19:23:06 GMT#13
[info]gpeefaltvote[info]parzanese2006-07-07 20:47:48 GMT#20
[info]maniakesvote[info]chessiekitty2006-07-07 20:58:33 GMT#22
[info]the1mouseunvote[info]gpeefalt2006-07-07 21:06:57 GMT#25
[info]the1mousevote[info]parzanese2006-07-07 21:06:57 GMT#25
[info]daedalus4096unvote[info]evilben2006-07-07 21:16:24 GMT#26
[info]daedalus4096vote[info]gpeefalt2006-07-07 21:16:24 GMT#26
[info]chessiekittyvote[info]maniakes2006-07-07 21:39:40 GMT#34
[info]gorillashamanunvote[info]gpeefalt2006-07-07 21:41:10 GMT#35
[info]gorillashamanvote[info]parzanese2006-07-07 21:41:10 GMT#35
[info]lupusintabulavote[info]gorillashaman2006-07-07 22:06:58 GMT#39
[info]evilbenvote[info]gpeefalt2006-07-08 07:14:26 GMT#57gpeefault
[info]gjunellvote[info]gpeefalt2006-07-08 18:36:06 GMT#67gpeefault
[info]blackbeardinvote[info]gpeefalt2006-07-08 21:49:48 GMT#70
[info]blackbeardinunvote[info]gpeefalt2006-07-08 23:49:23 GMT#71
[info]blackbeardinvote[info]abstain2006-07-08 23:49:23 GMT#71
[info]gorillashamanunvote[info]parzanese2006-07-09 15:22:31 GMT#76
[info]gorillashamanvote[info]gpeefalt2006-07-09 15:22:31 GMT#76
[info]gorillashamanunvote[info]gpeefalt2006-07-10 14:54:02 GMT#87
[info]gorillashamanvote[info]parzanese2006-07-10 14:54:02 GMT#87
[info]blackbeardinvote[info]parzanese2006-07-10 16:49:37 GMT#90

Vote Summary
5 against[info]gpeefalt:[info]gjunell [info]parzanese [info]perkyevil [info]evilben [info]daedalus4096
4 against[info]parzanese:[info]the1mouse [info]gpeefalt [info]gorillashaman [info]blackbeardin
1 against[info]chessiekitty:[info]maniakes
1 against[info]gorillashaman:[info]lupusintabula
1 against[info]maniakes:[info]chessiekitty
Posted but no vote:

Posting Statistics
posts by[info]gorillashaman:(27)#2 #8 #16 #17 #19 #35 #36 #37 #42 #43 #44 #46 #47 #49 #53 #58 #59 #73 #74 #75 #76 #77 #79 #80 #85 #87 #89
posts by[info]parzanese:(14)#6 #9 #11 #14 #50 #51 #52 #62 #63 #64 #65 #66 #68 #84
posts by[info]lupusintabula:(10)#1 #3 #12 #18 #29 #39 #45 #56 #88 #91
posts by[info]gpeefalt:(10)#20 #21 #28 #30 #33 #38 #48 #54 #55 #72
posts by[info]daedalus4096:(9)#10 #13 #24 #26 #31 #81 #82 #83 #86
posts by[info]the1mouse:(8)#5 #15 #25 #27 #32 #40 #41 #61
posts by[info]blackbeardin:(4)#69 #70 #71 #90
posts by[info]evilben:(3)#4 #57 #60
posts by[info]gjunell:(2)#67 #78
posts by[info]chessiekitty:(2)#23 #34
posts by[info]perkyevil:(1)#7
posts by[info]maniakes:(1)#22

Comment Tree Summary